Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046990 0.051110 0.055285 0.059824 0.064613 0.069509 0.074885
2024-10-20 0.039574 0.045556 0.051845 0.058922 0.066636 0.074766 0.083953
2024-10-27 0.034944 0.042344 0.050384 0.059704 0.070146 0.081426 0.094469
2024-11-03 0.030431 0.038755 0.048085 0.059202 0.071972 0.086071 0.102702
2024-11-10 0.027162 0.036226 0.046683 0.059451 0.074439 0.091300 0.111525
2024-11-17 0.024734 0.034429 0.045910 0.060241 0.077385 0.096986 0.120833
2024-11-24 0.023759 0.034273 0.046995 0.063157 0.082787 0.105515 0.133471
2024-12-01 0.020645 0.031172 0.044259 0.061256 0.082281 0.106997 0.137798
2024-12-08 0.018522 0.029163 0.042726 0.060687 0.083263 0.110152 0.144035
2024-12-15 0.016759 0.027487 0.041488 0.060373 0.084467 0.113508 0.150474
2024-12-22 0.016150 0.027330 0.042186 0.062499 0.088701 0.120560 0.161407
2024-12-29 0.015206 0.026624 0.042092 0.063553 0.091555 0.125912 0.170294
2025-01-05 0.014206 0.025797 0.041827 0.064408 0.094223 0.131146 0.179207
2025-01-12 0.012727 0.024157 0.040356 0.063586 0.094683 0.133606 0.184710
2025-01-19 0.011926 0.023477 0.040181 0.064481 0.097365 0.138869 0.193733
2025-01-26 0.010783 0.022175 0.039042 0.063990 0.098175 0.141733 0.199750
2025-02-02 0.009962 0.021318 0.038494 0.064273 0.099986 0.145865 0.207375
2025-02-09 0.009363 0.020775 0.038367 0.065118 0.102532 0.150942 0.216211
2025-02-16 0.009377 0.021264 0.039799 0.068200 0.108146 0.160046 0.230250
2025-02-23 0.008158 0.019524 0.037749 0.066198 0.106750 0.159958 0.232488
2025-03-02 0.007369 0.018473 0.036704 0.065599 0.107241 0.162316 0.237860
2025-03-09 0.006706 0.017590 0.035870 0.065269 0.108073 0.165108 0.243789
2025-03-16 0.006611 0.017774 0.036752 0.067513 0.112541 0.172773 0.256115